Truth Before Dishonor

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West Virginia Governor Special Election Results

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/10/04


The special election to fill Democrat Senator Joe Manchin’s unexpired term as West Virginia Governor was held today. The polls have closed and now comes the counting.

As of 7:58pm local time, the Associated Press has Democrat Acting Governor Tomblin leading 55 percent to Republican Mahoney’s 41 percent, with 6 of 1883 precincts reporting in.

As of 8:05pm local time, the Democrat holds a 60 percent to 37 percent lead. 33 of 1883 precincts reporting.

Early reporting of polling data suggested this race would end in a narrow single-digit victory. A Republican win would be considered an upset.

As of 8:09pm local time, the Democrat holds a 52 percent to 45 percent lead over the Republican. 53 of 1883 precincts reporting.

In the last weeks of the race, the Republican Governors Association pumped money into the race, running ads tying the Democrat to ObamaCare, noting the Democrat refused to sue the Federal Government as 26 other states did. The Republican promised to do just that, becoming the 27th state to sue. Polling data showed the advertising on this issue caused a major swing toward the Republican in the undecided voters.

As of 8:21pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 46 percent. 156 of 1883 precincts reporting.

West Virginia bucked the national trend in 2010 by maintaining a solid Democrat majority in the Legislature and voting for Democrat Joe Manchin to complete the late Senator Byrd’s (D) Senate term. This despite President Obama’s far below national average approval numbers in the Mountain State.

As of 8:27pm local time, Democrat Tomblin leads 53 percent to 44 percent with a 6,000 vote cushion. 310 precincts reporting.

As of 8:39pm local time, the Democrat leads 52 percent to 45 percent with an 8,000 vote margin. 583 of 1883 precincts reporting.

As of 8:42pm local time, the Democrat leads 51 percent to 45 percent with a 7,600 vote margin. 633 precincts reporting.

As of 8:51pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent with a 5,800 vote margin. 913 of 1883 precincts reporting.

West Virginia has not had a Republican Governor since Cecil H Underwood completed his term January 15, 2001.

As of 8:57pm local time, Tomblin, the Democrat leads 51 percent to 46 percent with an 8,600 vote margin. 1062 of 1883 precincts reporting.

As of 9:06pm local time, the AP has called it for Tomblin. The Democrat leads 50 percent to 46 percent with a 9,500 vote cushion. 1307 of 1883 precincts reporting. The 3 independent candidates, representing minor parties have so far combined for fewer than 8,000 votes.

As of 9:12pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent with a 7,800 vote cushion. 1396 of 1883 precincts reporting. The 3 independent candidates combined nearly cover the spread but fall short by a handful of votes.

As of 9:18pm local time, the Democrat leads 49 percent to 47 percent with a 6,000 vote margin. 1570 of 1883 precincts reporting.

As of 9:27pm local time, the Democrat leads 49 percent to 47 percent with a 6,000 vote margin. 1600 of 1883 precincts reporting.

Democrats hold a nearly 2 to 1 voter registration advantage over Republicans in the Mountain State.

As of 9:36pm local time, the Democrat leads 49 percent to 47 percent. 1714 of 1883 precincts reporting.

The unofficial tally so far:
Tomblin (D, incumbent) 133,983
Maloney (R) 127,765
Baber (Mountain) 5,519
Ingels (Independent) 2,634
Bertram (Other) 1,034

As of 9:43pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent with a 7,400 vote gap. 1776 precincts reporting.

As of 9:52pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent. 1777 of 1883 precincts reporting. Scanning the County list for unreported precincts, they all appear to be in counties carried by the Democrat.

As of 10:04pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent with a 7,900 vote margin. 1807 of 1883 precincts reporting. The three lesser candidates have combined for 9,600 votes.

Polling during the race showed the race tightened very noticeably when the Republicans put on a late push to tie the Democrat to Obama and ObamaCare. In a state that has a 2 to 1 Democrat registration advantage, the late push to tie the Democrat to Obama made the race far tighter than it would’ve been otherwise. Had the Republicans focused on ObamaCare and the Democrat’s refusal to sue the Federal Government over the unconstitutionality of its implementation earlier than they had, the end results may have been different.

Hopefully, the Republicans see how much damage ObamaCare does to State-level Democrat candidates and starts the push earlier on in future races.

As of 10:13pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent. 1868 of 1883 precincts reporting.

Precincts not reporting currently:
Braxton County (1) Democrat leads 59 to 38
Nicholas County (11) Democrat leads 50 to 45
Taylor County (3) Republican leads 50 to 47

As of 10:28pm local time, the Democrat leads 50 percent to 47 percent. 1871 of 1883 precincts reporting.

The unofficial tally to this point:
Tomblin (D, incumbent) 149,909
Maloney (R) 142,197
Baber (Mountain) 6,058
Ingels (Independent) 2,854
Bertram (Other) 1,108

As of 10:34pm local time, all 1883 precincts have reported. The final unofficial tally shows the Democrat won 50 percent to 47 percent.

By the unofficial numbers:
Tomblin (D, incumbent) 150,732
Maloney (R) 142,889
Baber (Mountain) 6,119
Ingels (Independent) 2,867
Bertram (Other) 1,111

Senator Joe Manchin (D – WV) should now know for certain his path to re-election in November, 2012 is by guaranteeing enough separation between himself and the Obama Administration that any attempt to tie him to Obama fails.

Thus ends my live-blogging updates.

One Response to “West Virginia Governor Special Election Results”

  1. […] The Bronze Medal goes to West Virginia Governor Special Election Results A live-blog of the race that was much tighter than it would’ve been had the Democrats not […]

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