Truth Before Dishonor

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Archive for September 22nd, 2011

The Palin Paradox

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/22

Consider if you will the premise that Sarah Palin knows she’s running for President but is just biding her time, waiting for the right moment to announce her candidacy. Now, I don’t know if the premise is true, but I believe she was leaning toward a run in June and is leaning much more strongly toward a run now. But consider for the sake of discussion that the premise is true. When should Sarah Palin announce her candidacy?

Back in July, I explained why a later announcement date would benefit her.

Why Sarah Palin can and maybe should wait ’til August or September to announce:

Her FaceBook notes will continue to go viral.

Her speeches and interviews will continue to go viral.

The Undefeated will be widely watched as it opens in more cities after its Premiere.

The media can’t stay away from a Sarah Palin story, even when she goes to ground.

It’s not costing her a cent.

The longer she stays out, the longer the other Republican candidates have to take some of the heat from vetting and a deceitful media.

The other Republican candidates still have to consider Sarah Palin in all they do and say.

This is still true today. As I noted in my July article, Palin is the most vetted candidate out there today, and she isn’t even officially a candidate. She needs to wait till the other candidates are more vetted before she enters, else they won’t be vetted until after the Primary season. But the timing got shifted. In August, Rick Perry — who guaranteed he would not be running for President during his most recent Gubernatorial campaign — announced his candidacy for President. And suddenly, the Aames Straw Poll meant very little. The other candidates lost media time as Rick Perry took the oxygen out of the room and jumped to the top of the “leader board.”

A couple debates later and Perry’s developing issues. His Trans-Texas Corridor Executive Order — which the Texas Legislature nixed — has shown a unilateral Big Government approach to things. His Gardasil Executive Order — which the Texas Legislature likewise nixed — has shown a unilateral Big Government approach and a link to crony capitalism. He is weak on the illegal immigration and educating illegals fronts. And there are other stories coming out claiming to show other weaknesses in his Conservatism. Now, I don’t know if those other stories are valid or if they’re part of a smear campaign, but it is highly likely had Palin announced prior to now, none of his difficulties with Conservatism would have had the exposure they got without Palin in the race. As a result, Perry’s poll numbers are beginning to wane, which will help when Palin decides to announce.

A couple days ago, a new poll came out showing Palin’s electability to be much stronger, and I wrote my analysis regarding the cause of the stronger electability numbers. Along with the other Republican candidates being more strongly vetted was the fact the 3-year-long smear campaign against Palin has lost its lustre as more and more the desperate loons spew forth with even more desperate trash that even Liberals have to object to. The other candidates haven’t been vetted nearly as stridently as Palin has. They haven’t had to face the level of vindictive smearing Palin has. But with her sitting on the sidelines, the other candidates are indeed getting vetted (and smeared) and their polling numbers are sagging because of it.

While Palin was at her floor in polling, others have reached their peaks. Now, as the others are falling off their peaks, Palin is rising from her floor. As she showed with her Northeast bus tour and her Midwest bus tour, wherever Palin goes the media follows and the other candidates lose media attention. She sucks the oxygen out of the room just by being there. This is both a benefit and a drawback for her as, while the other candidates can’t get their message out as effectively, neither do they get vetted (or smeared) as much. And as we saw in the 2008 Primary and General, the media may not smear a squishy Republican in the Primary but most definitely will in the General.

Therefore, it is imperative that the Republican candidate for President be vetted as much as possible prior to winning the Republican Primary, and Sarah Palin’s entry into the race would instantaneously shut off the vast majority of the vetting of the other candidates as she takes the oxygen out of the room and everyone but everyone pays attention to her.

So it’s best that Sarah Palin wait as long as possible before entering the battlefield. But therein lies the Palin Paradox. Her chances of winning increase the longer she waits to enter as everyone gets vetted and loses steam, but if she waits too late, her chances of winning go to zero. It is a difficult challenge to get the announcement timing down right, and Perry’s mid-August entry did shift the timing to a later date, but how late is too late?

Posted in Elections, media, Palin, politics | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Obama Fail Of The Day

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/22

So, Barack Obama has his “jobs” bill that is designed specifically to force all Republicans to “obstruct” it so Obama can have a talking point in an attempt to raise his abysmal and falling poll numbers. So, Obama decides what better place for a photo-op than a bridge that needs repair between the Speaker of the House’s state and the Senate Minority Leader’s state. So, Obama jets off to Cincinnati, Ohio, to tout the “shovel-ready” infrastructure spending in his “jobs” bill. And the hilarity ensues from there.

Remember the last big-spending bill that Obama touted as “shovel-ready”? That Porkulus bill that did not produce jobs and that Obama had to admit was not “shovel-ready”? Well, here’s round two. Andrew Malcom provides some of the detail in the Los Angeles Times. (I know, right? The normally sycophantic LA Slimes. HT Hot Air Headlines)

You know all those rusting bridges that President Obama wants to spend billions more dollars repairing to allegedly stimulate the economy?

He’s headed out to one today which he’s described as a “bridge that needs repair between Ohio and Kentucky that’s on one of the busiest trucking routes in North America.” It is on a busy trucking route, spanning the Ohio River between Covington, Ky., and Cincinnati.

It’s the Brent Spence Bridge. It doesn’t really need repairs. It’s got decades of good life left in its steel spans. It’s just overloaded. The bridge was built to handle 85,000 cars and trucks a day, which seemed like a lot back during construction in the Nixon era.

Today, the bridge sort of handles more than 150,000 vehicles a day with frequent jam-ups.

RTWT.

The bridge doesn’t need repairs. It’s not scheduled to get the repairs it doesn’t need. A new bridge is scheduled to be built, at a cost of 3.2 billion dollars, to ease the congestion. But it’s not scheduled to start for another four years. There goes that “shovel-ready” crapola again. And the false integrity again.

Oh, and guess which state the Ohio River is in. Ohio? Wrong. Ohio’s border stops at the river’s edge. So, touting a “shovel-ready” that won’t start for another four years job to repair a bridge that isn’t in need of repairs and isn’t scheduled for repairs in a state that isn’t even responsible for repairing it is one huge compound fail.

UPDATE
Allahpundit weighs in on Obama’s dishonest campaigning in Ohio.

Here’s video of him in front of the bridge today, following Maxine Waters’s advice to “fight” by stuttering his way to class-warrior glory. Speaking of things that are crumbling: His approval’s at 39/57 in Florida, which not long ago was a swing state if you can believe it, and a new Democratic poll of 60 battleground congressional districts held by Republicans finds that 50 percent support the GOP incumbent compared to 41 percent who support a Democratic challenger — a slight increase since the midterms last year. …

Obama’s reelection campaign, which started in January, 2009, got off to a rocky start and it’s been fail after fail after fail ever since.

Posted in economics, Elections, media, Obama, politically correct, politics, truth | Tagged: , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

The Hate Surrounding Israel

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/22

The Palestinians are trying to force UN recognition of them as a Nation. That cannot happen else Israel will indeed be faced with another war for her survival. Let’s look at some facts, shall we?

The Weekly Standard (HT Hot Air Headlines) has the logo of the “Permanent Observer Mission of Palestine to the United Nations” straight off their webpage, which I will not link because I don’t want to help publicize their hate-filled site.

Israeli land without Israel

Absent from the logo is any hint that Palestine consists of anything other than Arab territory. No nod is given even to the U.N.’s 1948 decision to divide the region into Jewish and Arab sectors. As for the shape of Israel by the time it was forced into waging the defensive Six Day war in 1967: irrelevant. The logo illustrates that the Palestinian bid before the U.N. for support of a unilateral declaration of statehood is disingenuous and dangerous.

There is not too much left to the imagination here: Israel is “wiped off the map.”

Matthew Knee clarifies the issue:

The root of the conflict is not that Israel currently controls the West Bank. The root of the conflict is that the Palestinians and their allies are still unwilling to accept that Israel exists at all.

Ivy League law professor William A Jacobson responds to an Atlantic article:

Obama assured the rise of Hamas? Hamas has already risen. Obama legitimated violence in the pursuit of Palestinian political goals? Have you been sleeping the last 60 years? Really, can’t The Atlantic do better than this nonsense? Bring back Andrew Sullivan, the relative voice of sanity.

The “occupation” is the cause of all the problems?. Oh wait, Israel withdrew unilaterally from Gaza and Gaza now is an Iranian missile base. Oh wait, the effort to drive the Jews into the sea started before the 1967 war, indeed, prior to the creation of Israel; just ask the Jews who used to live in the centuries-old Jewish community in Hebron before the 1929 Arab riots and massacre. Oh wait, Hamas does not agree to the existence of Israel. Oh wait, Abbas said just a few weeks ago he never — as in never — will accept Israel as a Jewish state.

Land for peace is risky enough; land without peace is a suicide pact.

And Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian leader of the West Bank who will never accept Israel as a Jewish state, has been declared to be one of the “moderate” Mohammedans in the region.

Hube, at Colossus of Rhodey (I suggest you read his article), linked to a Cal Thomas commentary surrounding this issue.

Israel — like the Jewish people for centuries — has become the fall guy for people who prefer their anti-Semitism cloaked in diplomatic niceties. The Palestinians could have peace any time they wish and probably a state, too, if they acknowledged Israel’s right to exist and practiced verbal, religious and military disarmament. One has a right to question the veracity of a people who claim they want peace, while remaining active in ideological, theological and military warfare aimed at its publicly stated objective: the eradication of the Jewish state.

Before Israel is allowed to disappear again (as Palestinian maps and school textbooks already depict) and the Jews who survive are sent into exile (who would take them?), it is worth noting a few of the numerous contributions Israel has made to the world, compared to what the Arab-Muslim-Palestinian culture has contributed.

Mahmoud Ahmadinejad once again denied the Holocaust ever happened on the floor of the UN today. The man who is pumping massive amounts of military grade weapons into Syria, Lebanon, the West Bank, Gaza so Mohammedan Terrorists can keep murdering Israelis continues to be a Holocaust denier, believing the history is all made up by Westerners and Jew-lovers.

No, since the Reconstitution of Israel, these people have been all about wiping Israel off the map. Even before the Reconstitution of Israel, these people have been all about the genocidal eradication of the Jews.

Israel won the Sinai Peninsula in a defensive war against Egypt. Israel offered it back to Egypt in return for a Peace Treaty. Israel offered Jordan a continuous supply of water, huge amounts continuously flowing out of Israel and into Jordan, for a Peace Treaty with Jordan. Those two Middle East countries are the only two who have agreed to peace with Israel. Israel unilaterally pulled out of Gaza and got in return Palestinians stepping up their terrorist attacks on Israel.

As the radical Leftist commenter at Common Sense Political Thought (Perry) constantly says, don’t look at Israel; look at the other side. Well, I have looked at the other side. I have examined the histo-facts. I have examined current events. And I say it is foolhardy for anyone to require Israel to negotiate with terrorists who want nothing less than the annihilation of Israel. And until the Palestinians repent of their desire to wipe Israel off the face of the map, I say do not negotiate with the genocidal terrorists.

Posted in genocide, history, Islam, Israel, Liberal, Personal Responsibility, Philosophy, politics, society, truth, war, Youth | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

 
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