Truth Before Dishonor

I would rather be right than popular

Archive for August 12th, 2011

Craptastic Obama

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/08/12

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Posted in economics, Elections, Health Care, Liberal, Obama, Over-regulation, politically correct, politics, Tax | 2 Comments »

Public Policy Polling (PPP) And Why It Should Be Ignored

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/08/12

William A Jacobson over at Le·gal In·sur·rec·tion is baffled at why Conservative sites would even bother reporting on the findings of PPP.

It seems that every time I bother to look at the numbers behind a PPP poll, I find that they over sampled Democrats. While I have not tested a majority of PPP polls, in the times I’ve looked at their numbers I’ve never seen a sampling which reflected party-affiliation reality or which oversampled Republicans. Maybe I’ve just had bad luck, or maybe there is a problem at PPP.

So it is no surprise that Ed Morrissey at HotAir finds the same problem in a PPP poll purporting to show Obama doing well in Colorado[.]

And the problem Ed Morrissey sees?

The respondents in the PPP poll break out to a ridiculous D/R/I of 41/33/26. That may be why “only Mitt Romney improves on John McCain’s 9-point margin of defeat” — because PPP gave the Democrats a nine-point flip in the sample. In the 2008 election, Barack Obama won Colorado, but Republicans narrowly edged Democrats in exit polling, with a D/R/I of 30/31/39. PPP adds eleven points to Democrats, two to Republicans, and takes 13 points off of independents from a wave election for Democrats. Is there any universe in which Colorado Democrats have gained so much in strength after nearly three years of bad economic news and White House drift?
[italics his, bold mine]

In 2008, Obama won the national popular vote by seven points and the Colorado vote by nine points, a wave election year for Democrats. That year that Democrats were strong had the D/R/I at 30 Democrat/31 Republican/39 Independent. Since then, Democrats have been trending down, not up, while Independents have been trending up, not down. It is not possible, given the definite trend and the unpopularity of Obama among Independents (who have reversed course in a major way since the 2008 election), for Democrats to pick up 11 percent more voters in Colorado. Thus, PPP acted dishonorably in generating its weighting and results. Because PPP wants Democrats (and Obama) to look stronger than they actually are so as to improve popular perception of Democrats (and Obama).

Posted in Elections, funny business, Liberal, media, Obama, politically correct, politics, society, truth | Tagged: , , | 2 Comments »

A Little About The Iowa Republican Debate

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/08/12

Once again, Mitt Romney was questioned about his RomneyCare. And once again, Mitt Romney tried to cover up his Big Government power-grab with the Tenth Amendment. Of course, Romney is using a Bell Curve dispensation of the Tenth Amendment, meaning a power-grab for Statists at the State level. But that’s not the meaning or goal behind the Tenth Amendment. The true goal and meaning of the Tenth Amendment is the Hyperbolic Curve dispensation. And once a Bell Curve “Tenther” gets into the Federal government, all pretenses at the Tenth Amendment will fall by the wayside. Because whatever issue will become too critical|severe|important to leave to the States. The Fed will “have to take power” away from the States.

The nut Ron Paul has decided that Iran should be able to build a nuclear arsenal, which would necessarily put Israel’s existence in jeopardy, to say nothing of millions of innocent lives in the Middle East.

Tim Pawlenty attacked Michele Bachmann but demurred in regard to Mitt Romney. But Michele Bachmann was ready and torched Tim Pawlenty. Hot Air has video of part of the Bachmann/T-Paw kerfuffle via Mediaite. (Since it is not a YouTube video, I cannot reproduce it here.) T-Paw tried that Leftist attack that Bachmann hasn’t succeeded in anything in Congress. By that metric, T-Paw would’ve told GEN Douglas MacArthur to go back to the States and retire after the Philippines fell to the far superior Japanese Army and Navy — despite the fact MacArthur’s extended delaying tactics were very crucial to the fledgling US war effort. And Bachmann hit back with T-Paw’s record of favoring Cap-and-Trade among other Big Government boondoggles while T-Paw was Governor. But Bachmann apparently left the stage during every commercial break. Bad form, that.

Newt Gingrich is asked about his Global Warming PSA with Nancy Pelosi. Newt’s response to someone asking a specific question about his record? He don’t want nobody hitting him with “gotcha” questions like that. Heaven forbid anyone ask him about his NY-23 endorsement of Leftist Republican DeDe Scazzafava, who in turn dropped out and endorsed the Democrat! Newt did hit Obama over the head on illegal immigration, so there’s that.

And there were some other also-rans on the stage as well.

My own take:
Bachmann won a few votes and lost a few votes, in effect, a wash.
T-Paw solidified his position as a second-tier candidate, to his detriment.
Ron Paul is still an absolute nut that cannot win the Republican nomination.
Mitt Romney is the strongest current squish candidate in a cycle where a strong Conservative is required.
If Newt Gingrich were a branding iron for the Rocking Circle R Ranch, he would have so many cold, dead spots that he would produce a smiley face instead of the Rocking Circle R brand.

With Perry, Palin, Guiliani on the outside possibly getting in, the Conservatives who were at the debate could quickly become also-rans and Romney could face a strong challenge from another strong squish.

Posted in Conservative, economics, Elections, Health Care, media, Obama, Philosophy, politics | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

 
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