Truth Before Dishonor

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Posts Tagged ‘Obama job approval’

And The Polls Say “What? Obama Gave A Speech?”

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/11

That’s right, folks. According to the Rasmussen 3-day average, the voting public didn’t even notice Obama gave a speech to Congress.

Thursday, September 8, before Obama’s speech, Obama’s Rasmussen numbers were:
Strongly Approve/Strongly Disapprove Approve/Disapprove Approval Index
20/42 43/56 -22

The next 3 days (which would slowly remove the pre-speech and replace with the post-speech):
19/43 42/56 -24
20/43 42/56 -23
21/43 42/55 -22

So, Obama’s pre-speech numbers showed him 13 points underwater in the overall and 22 points underwater in the passion index, while Obama’s post-speech numbers showed him 13 points underwater in the overall and 22 points underwater in the passion index, for no change whatsoever. May as well forget about the speech entirely, because it moved nothing. President Irrelevant to the snooze bar.

Posted in economics, Elections, Obama, politics, society | Tagged: , , | 3 Comments »

Stock Market, Associated Press Not Buying Obama’s Speech

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/09

As anyone who even remotely follows politics knows, Barack Obama had an electioneering speech a Congressional Address yesterday. It bombed in the eyes of the stock market and in the eyes of the normally sycophantic Associated Press. As of right now, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen over 300 points after Obama’s after-hours speechifying. And the Associated Press basically said to Obama “you’ve been weighed and measured and found wanting.”

As Ed Morrissey reports, with a link to the Associated Press and plenty of quoting, that the AP found many falsehoods in Obama’s speechifying.

1) It is not paid for. It is deficit spending, supposedly covered by unnamed spending cuts in the “out years,” in other words, never gonna happen since the “out years” never arrive.

2) It is not bipartisan. Obama’s proposed heavy cut in Social Security payroll taxes will find little, if any support among Republicans. The fact Social Security is already in very serious trouble doesn’t even faze Obama. What about all those old people who depend on Social Security and Obama’s plan to destroy Social Security revenue? Obama’s plan to raise taxes on the job-providers has never had Republican support. It’s just his repeated Tenth Commandment violating radical Leftist mantra, just presented again-again.

3) It is not deficit-neutral. With all the new, right now, spending come the later, maybe never, spending cuts and the later tax increases. There is nothing deficit-neutral about paying later for what you buy now, no matter how you slice it.

4) It is not immediately effective.

One is to set up a national infrastructure bank to raise private capital for roads, rail, bridges, airports and waterways. Even supporters of such a bank doubt it could have much impact on jobs in the next two years because it takes time to set up.

So, the Associated Press found at least four major points where Obama’s electioneering speech was untruthful. And that doesn’t even cover the many political differences of opinion, such as the opinion that none of Obama’s proposals — which were already tried and already failed — will fail if tried.

Dana Pico has a Stock Quotes widget on his Common Sense Political Thought sidebar, which showed at one point today the Dow Jones Industrial Average had fallen over 350 points to below 11,000. So the stock markets agree, Obama’s speech was an economic dud.

And the Congressional Democrats and the sycophantic Dana Milbank? They found Obama uninspiring, boring, and irrelevant.

The lawmakers weren’t particularly hostile toward the president — they just regarded the increasingly unpopular Obama as irrelevant. And the inclination not to take the 43-percent president seriously wasn’t entirely limited to the Republicans.

The nation is in an unemployment crisis, and Obama was finally, belatedly, unveiling his proposals, but Rep. Carolyn McCarthy (D-N.Y.) thought this joint session of Congress would be a good time to ask Secretary of State Hillary Clinton to autograph a copy of the children’s book “House Mouse, Senate Mouse.” …

Almost all Republicans ignored the calls of some within their ranks to boycott the speech. In fact, the empty seats were on the Democratic side. Democrats lumbered to their feet to give the president several standing ovations, but they struggled at times to demonstrate enthusiasm. When Obama proposed payroll tax cuts for small businesses, three Democrats stood to applaud. Summer jobs for disadvantaged youth brought six Democrats to their feet, and a tax credit for hiring the long-term unemployed produced 11 standees.

Obama spoke quickly, urgently, even angrily. Rep. Jesse Jackson (D-Ill.) stared at the ceiling. Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) scanned the gallery. Rep. Jim Moran (D-Va.) was seen reading a newspaper. And Republicans, when they weren’t giggling, were mostly silent.

Basically, Obama’s Teleprompter has been saying the same things over and over again for three years now, and more and more people aren’t buying it. To the point where even the sycophants are having to point out the obvious: Obama’s words are false, old, boring, irrelevant.

Posted in Character, economics, Elections, Liberal, media, Obama, Philosophy, politics, society, Tax, truth | Tagged: , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Obama Polling Crash Adds To 2012 Perfect Storm

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/08

I previously reported on Obama’s record low polling in the NBC/Wall Street Journal and ABC/Washington Post polls, and dug into the NBC/WSJ poll to show the demographics favoring Obama and the Democrats, which meant Obama’s record underwater level was actually worse than the poll showed. Last night’s Hot Air Quotes of the Day just added to the devastating polling details.

The most recent Gallup poll, which also showed record low, underwater polling for Obama, has major bad news for the Democrats. Gallup’s month-to-month ratings showed Obama reaching new record lows in August among overall at 41 percent, Hispanics at 48 percent, and Whites at 33 percent, while tying his record low among Blacks at 84 percent.

While the Black approval rating has only dropped 8 points from its high of 92 in February 2009, the decline among Hispanics and Whites has been precipitous, with the Hispanic approval dropping 27 points from its February 2009 rating of 75 and 34 points from its high of 82 later in 2009, and White approval dropping 25 points from its February 2009 approval high of 58. What does this mean for Obama, and more importantly, for Democrats overall? In short, it means trouble and in a major way.

Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Elections, Liberal, media, Obama, politics, race, society, TEA Party, Youth | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Obama Polling New Lows (with RDI and more)

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2011/09/06

Tina Korbe quotes Michael O’Brien from The Hill:

Forty-four percent of Americans said they approve of the way Obama is doing his job, while 51 percent disapprove of the president, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll conducted late last week.

Those numbers set a new low mark for Obama’s unpopularity in the NBC/WSJ poll, as did the president’s poll numbers in an ABC/Washington Post poll released Tuesday. [pdf] Forty-three percent of Americans approved of Obama’s job performance in that poll, while 53 percent said they disapprove of Obama.

Obama’s poor ratings appear to stem from deep dissatisfaction with his handling of the economy, as disapproval of his economic management soared to new highs in both the NBC/WSJ and ABC/WashPost polls. Fifty-nine percent of Americans disapproved on how Obama is handling the economy in the NBC poll, while 62 percent said the same in the ABC poll.

The dismal numbers raise the stakes for Obama’s jobs speech Thursday evening before a joint-session of Congress. A report Friday that showed that the economy added no new jobs in August already established just how much the president has riding on the speech.

Tina Korbe had a lot to say, tying these recent polls to Obama’s upcoming “jobs” electioneering Congressional Address, and if you haven’t read it, I strongly urge you to do so. But this isn’t about Obama’s electioneering Congressional Address. Hot Air readers are very politically astute and know very well to not trust polls at face value, so a question was raised about the cross-tabs involved in the polling data. I was very interested in that myself, so I did some digging into the Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. Needless to say, I found some interesting numbers. You’ll have to wait to the end to find the RDI weighting and similar data. First, a couple poll questions I found interesting (among other interesting poll questions).

Question 23:

Now, which of the following best describes how you would feel if [Barack Obama] were elected president — optimistic and confident that he would do a good job, satisfied and hopeful that he would do a good job, uncertain and wondering whether he would do a good job, or pessimistic and worried that he would do a good job?

And the results (August 2011/November 2008/October 2008):
Optimistic and Confident 23/34/28
Satisfied and Hopeful 23/24/29
Uncertain and Wondering 14/16/19
Pessimistic and Worried 40/25/23
Not Sure 0/1/1

Note the collapse in optimism in Obama’s ability to do a good job as President and the very strong rise in pessimism in Obama’s ability to do a good job as President between 2008 and 2011.

Question 28:

Which of the following two statements comes closer to your point of view?

Statement A: The President and the Congress should worry more about boosting the economy even though it may mean larger budget deficits now and in the future.

Statement B: The President and the Congress should worry more about keeping the budget deficit down even though it may mean it will take longer for the economy to recover.

First, note the Leftist/Keynesian false premise tied into this question. For me, this qualifies as a push-poll question. But even with the Leftist/Keynesian false premise tied in, the results are very informative.

. . .. 8/11 6/11 6/10 10/09 9/09 6/09
Stat A. 38 .. 31 . 34 . . 31 . 30 . 35
Stat B. 56 .. 63 . 63 . . 62 . 62 . 58
Depends 2 . . 1 .. 0 . .. 3 .. 4 .. 2
Unsure . 4 . . 5 .. 3 . .. 4 .. 4 .. 5

So, while Obama and the Democrats continue to push for more budget-busting spending, and Obama will most definitely demand Republicans do more budget-busting spending in his upcoming electioneering Congressional Address, the US public has, for over two years, overwhelmingly declared it is more important to get the Federal Budget in line than it is to deficit-spend for some supposed “stimulus”. And I do hope Obama and the Democrats continue with their spend-spend-spend/borrow-borrow-borrow/print-print-print mantra. Because that’s precisely what the majority of Americans do not want.

But on to the R/D/I, shall we? Because I suspect that’s what most of you have tuned in to see. But first, some historical data as a reference point. According to ABC News 2008 exit polling, the R/D/I was 32/39/29 and again according to ABC News 2010 exit polling, the R/D/I was 38/34/29 (note: “or something else” was Independent here). Note the major swing in exit polling R/D/I from 2008 to 2010. So, what did the WSJ/NBC R/D/I look like? Well…

Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . 18
Not Very Strong Democrat . . . . 13
Independent, Lean Democrat . . . 8
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17
Independent, Lean Republican . . 10
Not Very Strong Republican . . . . . 11
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . 13
Other (volunteered) . . . . . . . . 10

Breaking it down into R/D/I (with “Other” as strictly Independent) first with all Independents grouped together, it comes up 24/31/45. Factoring in the leaners, the R/D/I comes out 34/39/27, which is very much in line with the 2008 exit polling and completely ignores the major shift in the 2010 exit polling. But that’s not all. QF1a identified the poll respondents as 84 Registered, 15 Not Registered, 1 Not Sure, thus making the poll “of all adults” which notoriously benefits Democrats. And QF1b/c only amplifies that Democrat weighting of the poll.

Voted for Obama .. 43
Voted for McCain . 34
Voted for Other . . 4
Not Sure . . . . . . . 2
Did Not Vote . . . .. 17

That is a decidedly heavier-than-election benefit for Obama, as can be seen in the actual outcome, where Obama won by 7 percent and “Other” combined for only 1.53 percent.

So, what to take from the WSJ/NBC poll and further data? Obama is severely underwater in the polling data, and has reached new lows. The Democrat/Obama agenda of gargantuan deficit spending has been opposed by a clear majority for over two years. And the polling data is clearly weighted in a manner that actually benefits Obama. So the real numbers are actually far worse.

Posted in economics, Elections, media, Obama, Philosophy, politically correct, politics, society, truth | Tagged: , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

 
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