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Convicted Hammer Murderer Murders Again, Liberals Blame Guns

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2013/01/15

A man brutally murdered his own grandmother in 1980, got convicted, and went to prison. After getting out of prison, he once again went on to murder people. He set a building ablaze, then proceeded to lay in wait for the firefighters to arrive so he could murder them. I’m sure you’ve already heard a little about him. He’s the man in western New York that was on the news. But did you know he was already convicted of murder?

It’s already illegal for him to have in his possession the gun he used to murder the firefighters, because he’s a convicted violent felon. He already murdered before, using a hammer and not a gun. He murdered family. And did a stint in prison for it. But the Left, always looking for ways to prevent criminals from bearing full responsibility for their actions, let the violent murderer free to murder again. And the Left, always looking for ways to prevent criminals from bearing full responsibility for their actions, blamed guns for his next bunch of murders.

The solution is very easy to understand. The solution is also Biblical. Execute the murderer and that will serve as a deterrence. No murder, once executed, has ever gone on to murder another person. But a violent hammer murderer who murdered his own family member has gone on to murder other people outside his family after being released from prison.

It wasn’t the gun that murdered those firefighters. It was a convicted violent murderer who did. But the Left refuses to lay the blame at the convicted violent murderer’s feet. To do so would be to require adults to be responsible for their actions, and the Left is apparently incapable of the basic logic necessary to come to that conclusion.

No, they want to steal our Providence-given Second Amendment rights from us law-abiding citizens.

Make it illegal to carry a gun and only criminals will have guns.
Remember, when seconds count, the police are only minutes away.

Posted in Character, Constitution, Constitution Shredded, crime, Culture, Law, Liberal, media, Over-regulation, Personal Responsibility, Philosophy, society | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off

2012 Presidential Election Results As They Come In

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/11/06

UPDATE 10:18PM TEXAS TIME, FOX NEWS CALLS THE RACE FOR BARACK HUSSEIN OBAMA

FIRST PRESIDENT IN 96 YEARS TO WIN A SECOND TERM WHILE SHEDDING ELECTORAL COLLEGE VOTES

Welcome to Truth Before Dishonor’s version of live-blogging the 2012 Presidential election. As a reminder, here’s how the 2008 elections turned out (via US Election Atlas.org).

Note the Republican states are in blue and the Democrat states are in red. Republicans were not always red and Democrats were not always blue. It wasn’t until someone on MSNBC decided to employ some psychological propaganda that the colors were set in that way. As I noted in my Obama Wins 2008, In All Likelihood Loses 2012 article, it is my plan that Republicans and Democrats revert back to their appropriate colors.

This is set to be a long day of poll-watching from home. Stay tuned for the updates, and may Providence guide the election results.

UPDATE 8:00am Texas time: The longest day of 2012 has barely begun and we already have vote fraud allegations.

UPDATE 8:15am Texas time: It’s already old news, but the first official counts are in, with Barack Obama taking a commanding lead. Dixville Notch, NH and Hart’s Location, NH have opened and closed their precincts.
Read the rest of this entry »

Posted in Elections, media, Obama, Personal Responsibility, politics | Tagged: , , , , | 40 Comments »

They Always End Up Showing Us What They Are

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/11/04

Hate-filled totalitarian Leftists who have no regard for Rule of Law. That’s what they are, and they always end up showing it. The difference between now and then? “Then”, the dinosaur Mainstream Media was fully able to cover up their actions. Now, New Media exposes them to millions of people.

For instance, most people in the blogosphere have heard about Obama calling people to vote for him out of a sense of revenge — revenge toward Obama’s American enemies. And Romney called him out on it. What did the dinosaur Mainstream Media do? They accused Romney of talking about revenge, and not Obama.

Next up, Valerie Jarrett, the brains behind the Obama frankenstein monster.

A rep from Jarrett office was in today. She gave us a finish line pep talk and then afterwards, heard her saying how Jarrett is very excited about a 2nd term agenda and a big part of that agenda is to punish everyone who opposed them during the first term and the campaign. Strange that everything was “Ms. Jarrett wants this, and Ms. Jarrett is looking forward to that”. You hardly heard Obama’s name mentioned by her which I guess reinforces what people are saying. Valerie Jarrett really is the power in the White House. I know that when her representative showed up it was like royalty was visiting. All the big dogs were lined up to meet her and acting real friendly and they gave us a heads up an hour before and told us we better “put on a good show” while she was here.

The part that really stuck out to me was when I overheard the rep say that Jarrett told them, “After we win this election, it’s our turn. Payback time. Everyone not with us is against us and they better be ready because we don’t forget. The ones who helped us will be rewarded, the ones who opposed us will get what they deserve. There is going to be hell to pay. Congress won’t be a problem for us this time. No election to worry about after this is over and we have two judges ready to go.” She was talking directly to about three of them. Sr. staff. And she wasn’t trying to be quiet about it at all. And they were all listening and shaking their heads and smiling while she said it. Pretty creepy.

If that isn’t bone-chilling, you’re already completely gone. Very clear hate-filled guarantees of throwing the US Constitution and the Rule of Law out the window, in order to “punish” those who opposed their tyrannical rule. Congress won’t be a problem because Obama has already shown he’ll rule by fiat, completely ignoring the Constitutional requirements. Violating them on a whim.

This is the existential election. Obama wins and kiss America and Liberty good-bye. Obama loses and America survives its greatest existential threat.

Posted in Character, Constitution, Constitution Shredded, crime, Elections, Law, Liberal, media, Obama, Personal Responsibility, Philosophy, politics, Socialists, society, war | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Obama Wins 2008, In All Likelihood Loses 2012

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/11/01

Below are the 2008 election results from US Election Atlas.org.

Note the Republican states are in blue while the Democrat states are in red. Republicans being red and Democrats being blue wasn’t always the case. Not until those folks at MSNBC switched it around (for propaganda benefits, since red is the color of Leftism and Communism and Socialism). It is my goal that here, at Truth Before Dishonor, the Democrats are once again reverted back to being red and the Republicans are once again reverted back to being blue. Because it is far more in keeping with the Truth about their respective political leanings.

Below is the 270 To Win Battleground States map (with my adjustments for Republican and Democrat. The Battleground states are unchanged.)

Compare the two maps. (singing)Do you see what I see?(/singing) That’s right, folks. Every Republican state in 2008 is Republican in 2012. Every Battleground state was Democrat in 2008. And Indiana, which was Democrat in 2008, with less than 50 percent of the vote (despite Obama having an ACORN-led 105 percent Registered Voter vs Adult Resident advantage in Indianapolis in 2008), is Republican in 2012.

The charts show what everyone in the know has known to be true: Obama is on the defensive, desperately trying to cling to territory he won in 2008 and losing ground. That has been the case since the day he was inaugurated. He has been doing his best to cling to territory won and hoping against hope that he doesn’t lose too much. That’s what happens when you push a lie-filled, anti-American, anti-Christian, Socialist agenda down the throats of American citizens, the majority of whom oppose what you’re doing. (ObamaCare: the majority of the population was against it before it became Law, the majority of the population wanted it repealed immediately after it became Law, the majority of the population wanted it repealed in 2010 when they swept 700 Democrats out of office nationwide, and the majority of the population wants it repealed today.)

How big is this inability to win states Obama won his first time through? Let’s look at previous two-term Presidents.

2000: George W Bush won 271 Electoral College votes.
2004: George W Bush won 286 Electoral College votes.
George W Bush gained 15 Electoral College votes for his second term in office.

1992: Bill Clinton got 370 Electoral College votes.
1996: Bill Clinton got 379 Electoral College votes.
Bill Clinton gained 9 Electoral College votes for his second term in office. (Ross Perot went from just under 19 percent of the overall vote to under 9 percent.)

1980: Ronald Reagan, a true Conservative I could back (but wasn’t Conservative enough on some issues, and I was ineligible to vote regardless), got 489 Electoral College votes.
1984: (The first year I was eligible to vote.) Ronald Reagan got 525 Electoral College votes (losing only Minnesota by 18/100ths of a percent and DC by a huge margin).
Ronald Reagan gained 36 Electoral College votes.

In fact, the last time a sitting President won re-election despite shedding Electoral College votes was the election year of 1944, when Franklin Delano Roosevelt won a fourth term with 432 Electoral College votes, compared to his third term win of 449 Electoral College votes and his second term win of 523 Electoral College votes. But even FDR improved his second term EC votes over his first term EC votes. To find a President who won a second term with fewer EC votes than his first term, you have to go all the way back to the wholly destructive “Progressive” Democrat Woodrow Wilson who won 435 Electoral College votes in 1912, but only gained 277 in 1916, a loss of 158 Electoral College votes for “Progressivism”. He also only garnered 49.24 percent of the popular vote. (Too bad for this country that he couldn’t have lost 170 instead of only 158. Our country would have turned out far better for it.)

The Socialist Barack Obama? He doesn’t have a 168 EC vote cushion to lose. And lose EC votes, he will. Even the pinko Democrat operatives will tell you that. Even the pinko polling firms with their “Democrats will vote in higher proportions than they did in 2008″ polling numbers, will tell you that. Independent voters, who gave Obama an 8 point advantage in 2008, are giving Romney a 15 to 20 point advantage in 2012. And the above “battleground” map shows it. Obama has already lost Indiana. Obama cannot win any state he lost in 2008. The Census has reduced the EC number in states Obama won while increasing the EC number in states Obama lost. And every Battleground State is a state Obama won in 2008.

Will this be the first time in 96 years that a sitting President won re-election to a second term while shedding Electoral College votes? I think not. And since, it’s a foregone conclusion that Obama will shed Electoral College votes, I have declared Obama the loser of the 2012 election.

(Truth Before Dishonor intends to do its version of live-blogging the 2012 Presidential Election this upcoming Tuesday night. Tune in to TBD for the 2012 Presidential Election results as they happen. (hopefully))

Posted in Elections, history, media, Obama, politics, society, Vote Fraud | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Father of Slain SEAL: Who Made the Decision Not to Save My Son?

Posted by Yorkshire on 2012/10/26

This is SICKENING. The Discraced House at 1600 PA Ave., NW, Washington, DC DID NOTHING to save and fight for our fellow citizens and Americanns. Anybody who votes for Obama after reading or hearing this, is BLIND!!!

Father of Slain SEAL: Who Made the Decision Not to Save My Son?
Posted on October 26, 2012 byCowboy Byte

Charles Woods, the father Tyrone Woods, who was killed in the 9/11 terrorist attack at the American consulate in Benghazi, Libya, reveals details of meeting Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton at the publically broadcast memorial service for the slain Americans at Andrews Air Force Base only days after the attack. And, in a recent radio appearance, Woods publicly questions who made the call not to send in back-up forces to possibly save his son’s life, as well as the three other Americans killed in Benghazi (which includes the American ambassador to Libya).

When [Obama] came over to our little area” at Andrew Air Force Base, says Woods, “he kind of just mumbled, you know, ‘I’m sorry.’ His face was looking at me, but his eyes were looking over my shoulder like he could not look me in the eye. And it was not a sincere, ‘I’m really sorry, you know, that you’re son died,’ but it was totally insincere, more of whining type, ‘I’m sorry.’”

Woods says that shaking President Obama’s hands at his son’s memorial service was “like shaking hands with a dead fish.”

Read more: http://cowboybyte.com/14274/father-of-slain-seal-who-made-the-decision-not-to-save-my-son/#ixzz2AQFP4hyj

Posted in Constitution Shredded, media, Obama, Personal Responsibility | Tagged: , , , | 3 Comments »

It’s Time Romny Goes After The Treasonous Criminals

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/23

I’m long since tired of Republicans being overly-gracious winners while Democrats get to be petulant criminals without having to face judgment for their crimes. Providence said “To whom much is given, much shall be demanded.” George Bush the Younger refused to prosecute the Clinton administration criminals who were involved in vote fraud, obstruction of justice, theft of classified documents that would’ve crushed the Clintons under the weight of their own criminal actions (Vince Foster).

Luke 12:42-48 says:

42 The Lord answered, “Who then is the faithful and wise manager, whom the master puts in charge of his servants to give them their food allowance at the proper time? 43 It will be good for that servant whom the master finds doing so when he returns. 44 I tell you the truth, he will put him in charge of all his possessions. 45 But suppose the servant says to himself, ‘My master is taking a long time in coming,’ and he then begins to beat the menservants and maidservants and to eat and drink and get drunk. 46 The master of that servant will come on a day when he does not expect him and at an hour he is not aware of. He will cut him to pieces and assign him a place with the unbelievers.

47 “That servant who knows his master’s will and does not get ready or does not do what his master wants will be beaten with many blows. 48 But the one who does not know and does things deserving punishment will be beaten with few blows. From everyone who has been given much, much will be demanded; and from the one who has been entrusted with much, much more will be asked.

From the Wall Street Journal:

A higher standard had been applied in a previous leak prosecution, but Judge Brinkema ruled it was not necessary in Mr. Kiriakou’s case because he was a government employee with security clearances and clearly understood the rules about disclosing classified information.

The judge said prosecutors had to show only that the information could be used to harm the U.S.

Mr. Kiriakou was charged in April with disclosing classified information identifying a covert agent, illegally disclosing national defense information and making false statements.

The probe began in 2009 when authorities discovered detainees at Guantanamo Bay possessed photographs of CIA and Federal Bureau of Investigation personnel. Eventually the FBI concluded Mr. Kiriakou gave the name of one covert operative to a journalist, who then passed it on to a private investigator working for the lawyer of a Guantanamo detainee.

A former CIA agent will be spending two years in prison for leaking classified information to the Mainstream Media, who leaked it to terrorist defenders, who gave it to terrorists. The President and his administration have far greater authority and thus far greater responsibility than a mere CIA agent; thus, the President and his administration should rightly be imprisoned for far more than two years for their leaking of classified information to enemies foreign and domestic as well as to the Mainstream Media (but I repeat myself), merely to get Obama reelected and at the cost of many of our elite defense forces dying due to the classified information leaks coming out of the Obama reelection scheme. “From everyone who has been given much, much shall be demanded.”

It is far past time for Republicans to quit graciously giving a pass to treasonous, criminal Democrats and to force those Democrats to pay dearly for their crimes against the US.

Now, it’s been rumored that Obama will be handing out all manner of pardons for his peeps. If he believes some serious investigations are coming, he will not give out those pardons. Because doing so will place him in even more dire jeopardy of being imprisoned, as those he pardons will have no reason to keep silent and every reason to blow the whistle on him. They’re free from prosecution but would face prosecution if they continue to obstruct justice. Refusing to pardon them would keep them in jeopardy of prosecution if they say anything at all.

Posted in Character, crime, Elections, Law, Liberal, media, Obama, Personal Responsibility | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off

Serius XM Satellite Radio “70s On 7″

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/22

I have Dish Network.
It has Serius XM Satellite Radio. A whole lot of channels of music.

I turned my TV on to the Serius XM Satellite Radio “70s on 7″ channel. Oh my, the memories! And the great music!

I could listen to all the great music from 1990 till now on my half hour lunch break, and still have time for quiet, peaceful reflection. Not so with the music coming out of the 1970s. I could spend my entire 12 hour shift listening to only the best of the 1970s and still miss out on massive amounts of great 70s music.

What qualifies as music in the post-modern world of today cannot hold a candle to even the mediocre music that came out of the 1970s.


 

Posted in Blogging Matters, media, music | Tagged: , , , , , | Comments Off

CBS/Quinnipiac Agenda Driven Polling In Ohio

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/22

So, CBS News and Quinnipiac combined to generate an outrageously biased poll of Ohio voters. CBS/Quinnipiac is going to have to hurry up and un-bias its polling if they are wanting to use their “history of accuracy” when polling in the future. If they want reasonable people to think they’re Honorable.

CBS/Quinnipiac found Obama trailing among Ohio independents by seven points but somehow leading overall by five points and (barely) reaching the magical 50 percent barrier. Think about that. Among Republicans in the Buckeye State, Obama is absolutely gone. Among independents in the bellwether state (accurately picking the US President something like 27 times out of the last 29 elections, or 25 times out of the last 27, either way, that’s over 100 years of being a bellwether), Obama trails by 7. And yet, CBS/Quinnipiac has the audacity to declare Obama leads overall by 5. The numbers do not at all add up that way, unless CBS/Quinnipiac puts its left thumb on the scale. And that’s precisely what they did.

I’m inclined to think that Ohio is going to be close all the way to the election. But I’m also inclined to think that the electorate will be more than 26% Republican. That’s the sample in this poll, which has a laughable D/R/I of 35/26/34. In 2008 [link to CNN], the D/R/I was 39/31/30, while in 2010 [link to CBS] it was 36/37/28. We have plenty of data on enthusiasm in this election cycle, precisely none of which points to an 11-point drop in Republican participation in two years in this race.

Yet, with a D+9 advantage and Republicans only at 26% of the sample, Obama can only muster a 5-point lead in the topline. That was his margin of victory in 2008 in Ohio, by the way, but Obama won Ohio independents by eight points in that election. In this poll, he’s down seven points, a fifteen-point flip in the gap. That’s the most telling indicator thus far, and the one that cuts through the sampling biases.

In the Democrat wave of 2008, Republicans made up 31 percent of the Ohio vote. Absolutely all indicators are this is not a Democrat wave election, and yet, CBS/Quinnipiac has given Republicans a 5-point disadvantage from the 2008 Democrat wave election. All of the energy and tide is on the Republican side, none of it is on the Democrat side. Even in the horribly sampled CBS/Quinnipiac poll, Obama has lost 15 points among independents from his 2008 5-point victory in Ohio.

Looking at the actual numbers, and removing the agenda-driven CBS/Quinnipiac thumb from the scale, Obama trails by 3 or 4 in Ohio. And that is in line with Ohio’s over a century history of being a bellwether and national trending. And, as CBS/Quinnipiac noted, even in its D+9 poll that severely undersampled Republicans, Obama lost 10 combined points to Romney in 4 weeks in a state that Obama cannot afford to lose. And the trend is for Obama to further shed votes.

As a 44-year resident of the Buckeye State, I am rather pleased with the un-fudged Ohio data and the Ohio trend. I can smell doom and gloom (and panic) from the Socialists running the Democrat party from my new Texas home.

Posted in Elections, funny business, Liberal, media, Obama, politics, society, We Won't Miss You | Tagged: , , , , | Comments Off

Mia Love Uses White Child Slave Labor!

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/18

What better way for a white person born over a century after slavery was abolished to pay reparations to a black woman born roughly a century after slavery was abolished than to perform slave labor for that black woman?

From Mia Love:

Look at all those young men with “fun bags” (according to Pennsylvania Legislator Babette Josephs, D – Phila)!!!

By the way, normal people call them “responsible, politically astute young adults”. We all know Leftists have all manner of different terms for them, many of which would not survive the moderation filter here at Truth Before Dishonor.

Also note: Truth Before Dishonor officially endorsed Mayor Mia Love for Congress many months ago, prior to her winning her Primary in Nevada’s 4th Congressional District.

Posted in Conservative, Elections, Gender Issues, Humor - For Some, Liberal, media, Personal Responsibility, Philosophy, Politically Incorrect, politics, race, society, stereotype, TEA Party, truth, Youth | Tagged: , , , | Comments Off

Dr Thomas Sowell Discussing Dishonorable, Duplicitous Democrats

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/18

Via Representative Michele Bachmann (R – MN).

It’s actually very simple, Dr Sowell. The Modern Left have decided that they have the Orwellian power to redefine anything they wish to mean anything they wish, and to Sheol with the Truth.

By the way, a race traitor (according to today’s Left) made the comment and a man with boobs (according to today’s Democrat office-holders) is helping make the comment viral.

Posted in Conservative, economics, Gender Issues, Humor - For Some, Liberal, media, Obama, Occupy Wall Street, Personal Responsibility, Philosophy, politics, race, Socialists, society, TEA Party, truth, war | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Presidential Polling: Breaking The 50 Percent Barrier

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/17

Gallup has a new poll out from data it collected from October 10 to October 16, showing the 50 percent barrier has been crossed. This is important because when an incumbent has less than 50 percent of the likely voters this late in the stage, that incumbent is in serious danger of being defeated — even if the incumbent has the lead in the polls. Because people who are undecided this late in the game break very heavily toward the challenger. The incumbent has a record, and that record has not convinced the undecided voter. What’s left?

So, when a poll with the clout of Gallup comes out and declares that 51 percent of likely voters have stepped up to the plate and declared they will be voting for Obama and 45 percent will be voting for Romney, leaving only 4 percent undecided, that means something major.

Wait, what? Oh, that’s right. Never mind. The Gallup poll of likely voters shows Romney with 51 percent of the vote, a clear majority, to Obama’s 45 percent to give Romney a 6 point lead. Nothing to see here. Move along.

Perhaps it’s time to put down the dominoes. A storm surge is coming in.

HT Hot Air Headlines

Posted in Elections, media, Obama, politics | Tagged: , , , , , | Comments Off

Another Domino Falls For Obama

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/10

As I noted yesterday, the poll dominoes are falling. And it’s getting to the point that an obvious Leftist skew, over-sampling of Democrats cannot prop up Obama’s poll numbers high enough. Today, it’s Investors Business Daily’s turn to tumble. In a poll conducted October 4 to October 9, Romney leads Obama by 5. And it’s a poll that gives an RDI of D+8. Obama trails by 5 in a poll that gives Democrats an 8 point over-sample.

Some of the numbers in the poll:
High school education, Obama is -6
Some college, Obama is -10
College degree or above, Obama is -2

Single women, Obama is +21
Married women, Obama is -4

Obama only gets 86 percent of the Democrat vote while Romney gets 7 percent of the Democrat vote and 95 percent of the Republican vote. Among independents, Obama is -20 with an additional 12 percent undecided. And history shows the undecided vote breaks hard against the incumbent.

Those dominoes, they are a fallin’.

Posted in Elections, media, Obama, politics | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

Barack Obama And The Domino Effect

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/09

I previously reported about Obama going from +8 in a heavily skewed September Pew poll to -4 in an unskewed October Pew poll, going from +5 to a 47/47 tie with Gallup, going from +10 to +3 (with a 4-point margin of error) in Michigan, and dropping to only +2 in Pennsylvania. I followed that up by reporting that a Daily Kos-commissioned PPP poll showed Obama going from +4 to -2 in a week — in a poll that heavily over-represented Democrats and heavily under-represented independents, Rasmussen’s swing state poll (covering 11 states) showing Obama going from +6 to -2 in five days, and an ARG poll of Ohio voters which grossly over-represented Democrats while grossly under-representing independents (where Obama has lost 28 points(!) since 200) for a D+9 sample showing Obama -1.

On the heels of all that news comes this next domino (via Hot Air, who got it from Gateway Pundit):


 

The Suffolk University poll is pulling its pollsters from battleground states Virginia, North Carolina and Florida because Suffolk has deemed those states Obama losses. And Obama has already lost Indiana. That’s a done deal. If Obama were to lose Indiana, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia as the polls now suggest, he cannot lose a single other state if he wants to win re-election. But there are multiple other states where he could very easily lose. And 270 To Win’s user-interactive map shows only a 13 percent likelihood of an Obama win in that scenario (with a 6 percent likelihood of a tie), based on current polling data of the remaining 7 undecided states.

Yes, with the polls unskewing and the public seeing how disastrously bad Obama is against Romney (of course, in addition to the economy, the foreign policy disasters, Univision’s destruction of Obama’s Fast and Furious, the hatred of ObamaCare, etc, etc), the Domino Effect is very much happening. It’s entirely possible that Obama could win fewer than 16 states in November. And we could have a Republican President-elect before the Mountain Time Zone reports in (and Texas has a sliver in the Mountain Time Zone).

Posted in Elections, media, Obama, politics | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

Even More Bad Polling News For Obama

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/09

Late last night (cross-posted on The First Street Journal), I posted the very bad national polling news for Obama from Pew and Gallup and the bad polling news for Michigan and Pennsylvania. Today, we have even more bad polling news for Obama.

Daily Kos commissioned PPP (I know, I know, a nutball site commissioning a Leftist agenda-driven polling service) to poll the nation, and found Obama trailing Romney by two points. (Link to Hot Air, so it’s safe to click. Ed Morrissey links to DKos.) It’s a 6-point loss for Obama in a week in this poll. And then there’s the skewing:

The sample is a D+3, which is on its own a reasonable model for the turnout in four weeks, but the D/R/I is 40/37/23. That significantly undersamples independents, which becomes an issue when one sees how independents break out in the election. Romney has a six-point lead among independents, 48/42, and that low number for Obama will become a real problem in four weeks, as late deciders usually break hard for the challenger and away from the incumbent. Independents disapprove of Obama’s job performance by a wide margin, 34/55 (he’s at 43/53 in the overall survey), and the Democratic Party doesn’t fare well among indies either, with a 33/50 approval rating — which is, to be fair, about identical to how they view the GOP, too (33/51). By an even wider margin, likely independent voters believe the country is on the “wrong track,” 29/62. Those are not re-elect numbers for an incumbent who won independents by eight points in 2008.

Obama is completely collapsing among independent voters. And the severe undersample of independents requires a warning label: WARNING: Democrats in this mirror appear closer than they are.

Rasmussen’s swing state poll, covering eleven states Obama won, shows Obama losing 8 points in 5 days. As Ed Morrissey explains:

The tracking poll dropped the results from last Monday and added yesterday’s results. That is what produced the five-point swing, and it suggests that stronger results might be on the way, as the last two pre-debate results will drop out tomorrow and Wednesday. Obama had led in this tracking poll by as much as six points on October 1st and 4th, the latter the day after the debate and the last day with no debate-driven results. Obama’s lead went from 6 to 5, then to 3 and a few days at 2 before today’s reversal.

The states covered?

The full Swing State tracking update offers Rasmussen Reader subscribers a combined view of the results from 11 key states won by President Obama in 2008 and thought to be competitive in 2012. The states collectively hold 146 Electoral College votes and include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

Ed Morrissey reports on a heavily skewed Ohio poll that is even more bad news for Obama:

A new ARG poll shows Romney now leading Obama in Ohio, 48/47 — even with a D+9 sample. The D/R/I in this poll is 42/33/25; the 2008 election was 39/31/30; in 2010, it was 36/37/28. Among independents, Romney leads by 20 points, 57/37; Obama won them by 8 in Ohio in 2008, 52/44. I would assume that a proper balance that included more independents would extend Romney’s lead significantly.

That’s a 28-point Obama loss among independents in bellwether Ohio. Obama is trailing Romney by 1 in a poll that grossly oversamples Democrats and grossly undersamples Independents. A more accurate sampling of Ohio would have Obama trailing by several more points. And for the record, I spent 44 years of my life in Ohio. And I know, from my vast experience in Ohio, that Obama will not have the historically outsized Democrat-percentage turnout he garnered in 2008. It is not going to happen, folks.

The wheels on the Obama bus are falling off, which is karmic justice considering how many bodies those wheels have crushed over the last four years.

Posted in Elections, media, Obama, Ohio, politics, society | Tagged: , | 1 Comment »

Uh Oh! Obama Loses Twelve Points To Romney In Latest Polling

Posted by John Hitchcock on 2012/10/08

Pew has released its October poll and Obama received terrible news. He lost 12 points to Romney in a single month. Perhaps it’s time for Obama’s corrupt Department of Injustice to sue Pew. The Socialist Perry Hood of Lewes, Delaware was crowing about the September Pew poll despite being shown very clearly that the poll was heavily skewed Democrat, far afield of the actual voting populace. So what will the Left (whom Perry Hood parrots) say about the same polling firm now that the numbers show Obama losing by 4? Will they, and consequently the parrot, accept the numbers? I highly doubt it. They’re very inconsistent like that.

Pew’s September poll, and many other polling outfits’ September polls, were heavily skewed to the Democrat side of the RDI. Far afield of the actual voting makeup of the US population. And people went through the effort to unskew the polls. This effort showed Romney with a strong lead over Obama instead of the strong Obama lead that Pew and others were showing. Of course, the Left scoffed at the idea of unskewing their skewed polls. Well, Pew did just that. They unskewed their own September poll with their October poll, showing a far more realistic RDI sample. And the result is Romney leads Obama by 4 in October.

Now there’s a reason polling outfits would skew in September but not in October (or not so badly in October). It’s actually a very simple reason. While there are those who don’t see anything nefarious about the shenanigans, I do. And here’s why:

  • Polling outfits want Liberals to win, so they provide propaganda showing Democrats in unrealistic leads. It helps bring low-information voters into the fold and discourages Conservative voters. It pushes the actual polling numbers more to the polling firms’ liking, thus when it’s time to unskew the polls, the damage has been done.
  • Polling outfits like to tout their accuracy, pointing back to previous voting outcomes compared to their polls; thus, they have to have final unskewed polls to show to unsuspecting readers. Their earlier polls, since they are far enough away from the election, can be ignored. Or they can be said to show the gradual shift toward Conservatives as the cycle goes on (for other insidious anti-First Amendment activities by lawmakers and Leftist activists alike).

In order for the polling outfits to push their two-fold propaganda, they have to push a Left bias in their polls to start and then shift their polls to far more reasonable breakdowns as the election approaches. And this is what Pew has done. It is what other polling firms will be doing, as the election approaches. They have no choice if they want to be believed in later years.

In other bad news, that polling firm the corrupt Obama Department of Injustice sued is showing a 47/47 tie among registered voters, a 5-point Obama loss from its previous poll. What’s worse, this is a poll of registered voters, which consistantly swings two or three points further Left than the actual vote results will show. So, when adjusted for likely voters, Obama is trailing here, too.

In still other news, Obama went from +10 in Michigan in September to +3 now, with a margin of error of +/-4. That means it’s a statistical dead heat in Michigan. And in Pennsylvania, Obama only leads by 2 with a D+6 poll. That makes Pennsylvania a very clear toss-up, unlike what the loony Left were saying.

Mark Davis, who broadcasts on 660 am “The Answer”, declared there are only 4 possible outcomes to the Presidential election:

  • Obama wins by a landslide.
  • Obama wins a squeaker.
  • Romney wins a squeaker.
  • Romney wins by a landslide.

And he declared the first one, where Obama wins by a landslide, ain’t never gonna happen. I agree. The other three possibilities could happen, although he believes the middle two are the most likely. But as time goes on toward the election and the polls start unskewing, it’s looking more and more like the last two are the most likely with Obama’s squeaker least likely of the three and Obama’s landslide still ain’t never gonna happen.

Posted in Elections, Gender Issues, Liberal, media, Obama, politics, society | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

 
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